Feasibility to Reduce Swab RT-PCR Tests by Serum Proteomics for COVID-19 Disease Course Monitoring (preprint)

The diagnosis and disease course monitoring of COVID-19 are mainly based on RT-PCR analysis of RNAs extracted from pharyngeal or nasopharyngeal swabs with potential live virus, posing a high risk to medical practitioners. Here, we investigated the feasibility of applying serum proteomics to classify COVID-19 patients in the nucleic acid positive (NCP) and negative (NCN) stages. We analyzed the proteome of 320 inactivated serum samples from 144 COVID-19 patients, and 45 controls and shortlisted 42 regulated proteins in the severe group and 12 regulated proteins in the non-severe group. Together with several key clinical indexes including days after symptom onset, platelet counts and magnesium, we developed machine learning models to classify NCP and NCN with an AUC of 0.94 for the severe cases and 0.89 for the non-severe cases. This study suggests the feasibility of utilizing quantitative serum proteomics for NCP-NCN classification.Funding: This work was supported by grants from the National Key R&D Program of China(No. 2020YFE0202200), National Natural Science Foundation of China (81672086), Zhejiang Province Analysis Test Project (2018C37032), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (81972492, 21904107), Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation for Distinguished Young Scholars (LR19C050001), Zhejiang Medical and Health Science and Technology Plan (2021KY394), Hangzhou Agriculture andSociety Advancement Program (20190101A04), and Westlake Education Foundation, Tencent Foundation.Conflict of Interest: Tiannan Guo is shareholder of Westlake Omics Inc. W.G. and N.X. are employees of Westlake Omics Inc. The remaining authors declare no competing interests.Ethical Approval: This study has been approved by both the Ethical/Institutional Review Boards of Taizhou Hospital and Westlake University. Informed contents from patients were waived by the boards.

Eleven Routine Clinical Features Predict COVID-19 Severity Uncovered by Machine Learning of Longitudinal Measurements (preprint)

Background: Severity prediction of COVID-19 remains one of the major clinical challenges for the ongoing pandemic. In this study, we aim to establish a model for COVID-19 severity prediction and depict dynamic changes of key clinical features over 7 weeks.Methods: In our retrospective study, a total of 841 patients have been screened with the SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid test, of which 144 patients were virus RNA (COVID-19) positive, resulting in a data matrix containing of 3,065 readings for 124 types of measurements from 17 categories. We built a support vector machine model assisted with genetic algorithm for feature selection based on the longitudinal measurement. 25 patients as a test cohort were included from an independent hospital.Findings: A panel of 11 routine clinical factors constructed a classifier for COVID-19 severity prediction, achieving an accuracy of over 94%. Validation of the model in an independent cohort containing 25 patients achieved an accuracy of 80%. The overall sensitivity, specificity, PPV and NPV were 0.70, 0.99, 0.93 and 0.93, respectively. This study presents a practical model for timely severity prediction for COVID-19, which is freely available at a webserver https://guomics.shinyapps.io/covidAI/.Interpretation: The model provided a classifier composed of 11 routine clinical features which are widely available during COVID-19 management which could predict the severity and may guide the medical care of COVID-19 patients.Funding: This work is supported by grants from Tencent Foundation (2020), National Natural Science Foundation of China (81972492, 21904107, 81672086), Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation for Distinguished Young Scholars (LR19C050001), Hangzhou Agriculture and Society Advancement Program (20190101A04).Declaration of Interests: NAEthics Approval Statement: This study was approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of Taizhou Hospital, Shaoxing People’s Hospital and Westlake University, Zhejiang province of China, and informed consent was obtained from each enrolled subject.

Multi-organ Proteomic Landscape of COVID-19 Autopsies (preprint)

The molecular pathology of multi-organ injuries in COVID-19 patients remains unclear, preventing effective therapeutics development. Here, we report an in-depth multi-organ proteomic landscape of COVID-19 patient autopsy samples. By integrative analysis of proteomes of seven organs, namely lung, spleen, liver, heart, kidney, thyroid and testis, we characterized 11,394 proteins, in which 5336 were perturbed in COVID-19 patients compared to controls. Our data showed that CTSL, rather than ACE2, was significantly upregulated in the lung from COVID-19 patients. Dysregulation of protein translation, glucose metabolism, fatty acid metabolism was detected in multiple organs. Our data suggested upon SARS-CoV-2 infection, hyperinflammation might be triggered which in turn induces damage of gas exchange barrier in the lung, leading to hypoxia, angiogenesis, coagulation and fibrosis in the lung, kidney, spleen, liver, heart and thyroid. Evidence for testicular injuries included reduced Leydig cells, suppressed cholesterol biosynthesis and sperm mobility. In summary, this study depicts the multi-organ proteomic landscape of COVID-19 autopsies, and uncovered dysregulated proteins and biological processes, offering novel therapeutic clues. HIGHLIGHTSO_LICharacterization of 5336 regulated proteins out of 11,394 quantified proteins in the lung, spleen, liver, kidney, heart, thyroid and testis autopsies from 19 patients died from COVID-19. C_LIO_LICTSL, rather than ACE2, was significantly upregulated in the lung from COVID-19 patients. C_LIO_LIEvidence for suppression of glucose metabolism in the spleen, liver and kidney; suppression of fatty acid metabolism in the kidney; enhanced fatty acid metabolism in the lung, spleen, liver, heart and thyroid from COVID-19 patients; enhanced protein translation initiation in the lung, liver, renal medulla and thyroid. C_LIO_LITentative model for multi-organ injuries in patients died from COVID-19: SARS-CoV-2 infection triggers hyperinflammatory which in turn induces damage of gas exchange barrier in the lung, leading to hypoxia, angiogenesis, coagulation and fibrosis in the lung, kidney, spleen, liver, heart, kidney and thyroid. C_LIO_LITesticular injuries in COVID-19 patients included reduced Leydig cells, suppressed cholesterol biosynthesis and sperm mobility. C_LI

Eleven Routine Clinical Features Predict COVID-19 Severity (preprint)

Severity prediction of COVID-19 remains one of the major clinical challenges for the ongoing pandemic. Here, we have recruited a 144 COVID-19 patient cohort consisting of training, validation, and internal test sets, longitudinally recorded 124 routine clinical and laboratory parameters, and built a machine learning model to predict the disease progression based on measurements from the first 12 days since the disease onset when no patient became severe. A panel of 11 routine clinical factors, including oxygenation index, basophil counts, aspartate aminotransferase, gender, magnesium, gamma glutamyl transpeptidase, platelet counts, activated partial thromboplastin time, oxygen saturation, body temperature and days after symptom onset, constructed a classifier for COVID-19 severity prediction, achieving accuracy of over 94%. Validation of the model in an independent cohort containing 25 patients achieved accuracy of 80%. The overall sensitivity, specificity, PPV and NPV were 0.70, 0.99, 0.93 and 0.93, respectively. Our model captured predictive dynamics of LDH and CK while their levels were in the normal range. This study presents a practical model for timely severity prediction and surveillance for COVID-19, which is freely available at webserver https://guomics.shinyapps.io/covidAI/.

Proteomic and Metabolomic Characterization of COVID-19 Patient Sera (preprint)

Severe COVID-19 patients account for most of the mortality of this disease. Early detection and effective treatment of severe patients remain major challenges. Here, we performed proteomic and metabolomic profiling of sera from 46 COVID-19 and 53 control individuals. We then trained a machine learning model using proteomic and metabolomic measurements from a training cohort of 18 non-severe and 13 severe patients. The model correctly classified severe patients with an accuracy of 93.5%, and was further validated using ten independent patients, seven of which were correctly classified. We identified molecular changes in the sera of COVID-19 patients implicating dysregulation of macrophage, platelet degranulation and complement system pathways, and massive metabolic suppression. This study shows that it is possible to predict progression to severe COVID-19 disease using serum protein and metabolite biomarkers. Our data also uncovered molecular pathophysiology of COVID-19 with potential for developing anti-viral therapies.Funding: This work is supported by grants from Westlake Special Program for COVID19 (2020), and Tencent foundation (2020), National Natural Science Foundation of China (81972492, 21904107, 81672086), Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation for Distinguished Young Scholars (LR19C050001), Hangzhou Agriculture and Society Advancement Program (20190101A04). Conflict of Interest: The research group of T.G. is partly supported by Tencent, Thermo Fisher Scientific, SCIEX and Pressure Biosciences Inc. C.Z., Z.K., Z.K. and S.Q. are employees of DIAN Diagnostics.

Proteomic and Metabolomic Characterization of COVID-19 Patient Sera (preprint)

Severe COVID-19 patients account for most of the mortality of this disease. Early detection and effective treatment of severe patients remain major challenges. Here, we performed proteomic and metabolomic profiling of sera from 46 COVID-19 and 53 control individuals. We then trained a machine learning model using proteomic and metabolomic measurements from a training cohort of 18 non-severe and 13 severe patients. The model correctly classified severe patients with an accuracy of 93.5%, and was further validated using ten independent patients, seven of which were correctly classified. We identified molecular changes in the sera of COVID-19 patients implicating dysregulation of macrophage, platelet degranulation and complement system pathways, and massive metabolic suppression. This study shows that it is possible to predict progression to severe COVID-19 disease using serum protein and metabolite biomarkers. Our data also uncovered molecular pathophysiology of COVID-19 with potential for developing anti-viral therapies.